Prediction markets beat Wall Street in forecasting inflation, Kalshi says

Dec 23, 2025 - 00:30
Prediction markets beat Wall Street in forecasting inflation, Kalshi says
Prediction market traders consistently beat professionals in forecasting inflation, especially when the readings deviate from estimates by a greater amount, according to a study by prediction market Kalshi. Comparing inflation forecasts on its platform with Wall Street consensus estimates, Kalshi found that market-based traders were more accurate than conventional economists and analysts over a 25-month...

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