Eurovision 2026 betting odds, tips & predictions

The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 rolls into Vienna, Austria this week for the first time since 2015, with 25 countries competing in Saturday’s Grand Final. It marks the contest’s 70th anniversary and demand has been huge, with tickets selling out in just 14 minutes.

As always, millions across Europe will wait to hear the iconic phrase: “Twelve points go to…” – while others will hope to avoid the dreaded “Nul points”.

It’s also big business in the betting world. Plenty of money has already been placed on this year’s contest, with bookmaker odds usually giving a good idea of which acts are gaining momentum ahead of the live shows.

Here’s everything you need to know about Eurovision 2026, who’s leading the betting in Vienna, and how to place your bets on this year’s contest.

Our favourite bonus for Eurovision betting

Eurovision 2026 winner betting odds

Below are the latest betting odds for every country competing to win Eurovision 2026.

Eurovision winner favourites for 2026

While Eurovision has produced a few surprise winners over the years, the betting markets are often a strong indicator of which countries are most likely to finish on top.

UK’s top bookmakers take everything into account when pricing up the contenders. That includes song popularity, jury appeal, televote trends and even the wider political landscape.

Here, we take a closer look at the five countries currently leading the Eurovision 2026 betting markets.

Finland – “Liekinheitin”

There’s little doubt over the favourites at this year’s Eurovision. Finland are clear frontrunners to win a second Eurovision title, with bookmakers pricing “Liekinheitin” at around even-money to top the leaderboard in Vienna.

The dramatic anthem, which translates to “Flamethrower”, combines Pete Parkkonen’s angsty vocals with a striking live violin performance from classical musician Linda Lampenius.

In a rare move, Lampenius has been granted special approval to play live during the contest, despite instrumental parts usually being pre-recorded. That added authenticity could prove popular with both juries and televoters, strengthening Finland’s position at the top of the market.

Finland remain the clear Eurovision favourites, with “Liekinheitin” available at evens with Betway

Greece – “Ferto”

In classic Eurovision fashion, Greece’s entry could hardly be more different to Finland’s anthem. “Ferto”, performed by Akylas, brings a more eccentric approach with computer game-themed visuals and an energetic electro-pop track.

Akylas’ distinctive outfits and unconventional performances are already attracting attention online, with the official video picking up more than 1.4 million views on YouTube alone. The song’s themes of greed and corruption also help it stand out from many of this year’s more straightforward entries.

“Ferto” should prove popular with the televote if the live performance lands well in Vienna, but it could be on shakier ground with the judges.

Fancy Greece’s “Ferto” to shake up the leaderboard? Back Akylas at 5/1 with BoyleSports

Denmark – “Før vi går hjem”

Soren Torpegaard Lund’s “Før vi går hjem” (“Before We Go Home”) has received strong backing in the betting markets over the last few weeks, shortening from a double-figure price into 6/1 with Betway.

The emotional electro-pop track centres around heartbreak and late-night reflection, all set against a vivid nightlife backdrop. Much of the performance takes place inside a fluorescent box, which Lund eventually breaks through as the song builds towards a dramatic finale.

I’m not sure about you, but there’s definitely something about Denmark’s entry that feels similar to the last two Eurovision winners – JJ’s “Wasted Love” and Nemo’s “The Code”. It follows a formula that we already know tends to do well with both juries and televoters, so it’s easy to see why the bookmakers have taken a liking to it.

Denmark’s “Før vi går hjem” has been heavily backed in recent weeks, with 6/1 available at talkSPORT BET

France – “Regarde!”

France have been knocking on the door at Eurovision for a while now, finishing second, fourth and seventh over the past five years. This time, the pressure falls on 17-year-old prodigy Monroe to go one better with “Regarde!” (“Look”).

The song centres around a powerful operatic vocal performance, backed by a frantic string section that gradually builds towards an emotional finale. France are also expected to rely heavily on dark, cinematic staging, designed to represent youth, freedom and love throughout the performance.

If they get the live show right in Vienna, “Regarde!” has all the ingredients to score strongly with both juries and televoters.

France’s dramatic ballad “Regarde!” can be backed at 10/1 with Betfred

Australia – “Eclipse”

The Aussies have sent singer and actress Delta Goodrem to Vienna in search of their first-ever Eurovision victory, which is not beyond the realms at 10/1 with Betway.

Goodrem is already a household name in Australia thanks to her role in Neighbours and debut album Innocent Eyes, which became one of the country’s highest-selling records and reached number two in the UK charts.

The song itself, “Eclipse”, is upbeat and driven by Goodrem’s powerful vocals, with a catchy chorus that should stick in the minds of viewers when voting opens, while the celestial-themed performance could also score highly with the jury.

Think Delta Goodrem can deliver Australia’s first Eurovision win? “Eclipse” is 11/1 with bet365

Eurovision Song Contest underdogs & outsiders

Much of the attention will understandably go to the frontrunners in the Eurovision betting markets, but there could still be some value elsewhere at much bigger odds.

It’s rare, but Eurovision has thrown up a few surprise winners over the years. Ukraine won the contest back in 2016 with Jamala’s “1944” despite being priced at around 20/1 by some bookmakers before the final.

So while the favourites usually dominate the market, it only takes one standout live performance for everything to change on the night. Here are three outsiders worth keeping an eye on in Vienna.

United Kingdom – “Eins, Zwei, Drei”

It’s been a while since the United Kingdom topped the pile at Eurovision. In fact, it’s now been 28 years since Katrina and the Waves won the contest with “Love Shine a Light”.

And this year… well, it looks a tall order for songwriter and YouTuber Look Mum No Computer to end that drought. Described by the artist himself as “completely wacky”, both the title and chorus of “Eins, Zwei, Drei” are in German and appear aimed squarely at judges and Eurovision fans across the continent.

It would be a surprise if it finished on the left side of the leaderboard, but stranger things have happened at 80/1. Apparently.

Feeling patriotic? Bet on Eins, Zwei, Drei at 80/1 with Betway

Sweden – “My System”

What’s this? Sweden at 33/1?

Felicia brings seriously big energy with this high-voltage house and techno track that should go down well inside the arena in Vienna. “My System” is catchy, nostalgic and has a chorus that feels tailor-made for a big Eurovision crowd.

For a country that has won Eurovision seven times, those 33/1 odds look surprisingly big and this could well outperform the market on the night.

Bet on Sweden to take the trophy again at 50/1 with Sky Bet

Cyprus – “Jalla”

Fans of Love Island in the UK might be intrigued to see former contestant Antigoni Buxton performing in the Grand Final. She may have been dumped early on in the villa, but she could stick around a lot longer on the Eurovision leaderboard with “Jalla”.

The track is a catchy pop song inspired by her Cypriot heritage, with Mediterranean influences throughout and a chorus that could easily get stuck in viewers’ heads. Don’t be surprised if you find yourself shouting “Opa!” while sticking the kettle on.

Take a chance on your Love Island fav at 100/1 with Star Sports

Eurovision facts & stats

With Eurovision 2026 just days away, bettors could find some value in looking at how the leading contenders have performed in the contest over the years. Past success obviously guarantees nothing at Eurovision, but it can still give a decent indication of how this year’s favourites might fare in the Grand Final.

Eurovision performance – Top 3 contenders

Finland

Finland have won the Eurovision Song Contest once before, with hard rock band Lordi and their iconic 2006 entry “Hard Rock Hallelujah”.

Greece

Greece also have one Eurovision win to their name, coming back in 2005 with “My Number One” by Helena Paparizou. However, they’ve looked much closer to adding a second title over the last few years.

Denmark

Denmark have won Eurovision three times in their history, in 1963, 2000 and 2013. However, they’ve endured a difficult few years in the contest, with last year’s 23rd-place finish marking the first time they had even qualified for the Grand Final since 2019.

Eurovision stats – wins & losses

Below are a few quick facts that anyone betting on the Eurovision Song Contest should know.

List of countries that have never won Eurovision

Despite Eurovision running since 1956, several countries are still waiting for their first victory in the contest. Some have come painfully close over the years, while others are still searching for a breakthrough.

Author’s Top Picks for Eurovision 2026

Well, for starters, the bookmakers rarely get Eurovision completely wrong. In fact, eight of the last 10 winners of the contest started Eurovision week priced between 2/1 and 8/1 in the outright market, which gives a pretty good indication of where the winner is usually found.

But it’s important to note that the favourite heading into the Grand Final has been beaten in each of the last two years, so backing the market leader is far from a guarantee.

That said, I think Finland’s entry, “Liekinheitin”, performed by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, will take some stopping. The Fins clearly have momentum behind them, with the song already resonating across Europe, while Lampenius’ mesmerising live violin performance stands out among this year’s entries.

If you’re asking for my personal favourite, which you’re probably not, I’d side with France at 10/1 with Betway. Monroe already looks like a star in the making thanks to her incredible vocals, while “Regarde!” builds into a genuinely euphoric orchestral finale, backed by dark, cinematic staging that should intrigue the jury and score well with the public vote.

Then again, I liked Estonia’s Espresso Macchiato last year…

About the author

Jake Skudder

​Jake Skudder is a British journalist and digital content strategist with over a decade of experience covering sports, gaming, and entertainment. His work spans areas such as mixed martial arts, professional wrestling, football, and gaming. Additionally, he has been involved in public relations and media coordination within the UK’s independent wrestling scene.

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