talkSPORT betting tips – Best NFL bets and expert advice for Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

Two playoff-bound teams clash at Mile High on Sunday evening as AFC West rivals Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers face off in Week 18.

Both teams have made certain of their place in the postseason, but the pair have differing degrees of motivation for the regular-season finale, with Denver bidding to lock up the favourable No.1 seed in the AFC, while LA cannot improve on a wild-card spot.

The Chargers have already announced the decision to sit star quarterback Justin Herbert, and as a result the match odds are heavily in favour of the Broncos.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos Tips

• Tip 1: Over 37.5 Total Points @ 20/23
• Tip 2: RJ Harvey to score a Rushing TD @ 1/1
• Tip 3: Courtland Sutton Over 56.5 Receiving Yards @ 17/20

Points total could be higher than anticipated

Denver Broncos will want to finish the season in style as they bid for the No.1 seed and there is real reason for them to come out firing against the Chargers, who might find them difficult to stop.

Denver are asked to give up a double-digit margin on the handicap and it’s tempting to side with Bo Nix’s team, who have won 12 of their last 13 matches, with their sole defeat coming in a home shootout against Jacksonville Jaguars.

But the Broncos rarely blow teams out, with just one of their last 11 wins coming via a double-digit margin and it’s hard to know how strong the Chargers will be, even though it has been confirmed that Justin Herbert will sit this one out.

Former No.3 draft pick Trey Lance is a solid backup option at QB and he has weapons to work with – it’s only two weeks since the Chargers put 34 points on the Cowboys on the road.

If the Bolts can find the end zone on more than one occasion, a low total could easily be surpassed.

Harvey ready to get back in the end zone

Rookie running back RJ Harvey has steadily become a key part of the Denver offense this year, with much of his best work coming in the second half of the season as head coach Sean Payton and OC Joe Lombardi have given him more snaps.

With JK Dobbins sidelined, Harvey has grown into the go-to option in the running game, and since the beginning of December he has found the end zone five times from as many games.

The Chargers do not give us many rushing touchdowns, but there is a decent chance the defense will be missing some of its most important pieces on Sunday.

Nix should continue to target Sutton

Like Harvey, wide receiver Courtland Sutton should be heavily involved for the Broncos offense, and the best way to back him could be to take over 56.5 receiving yards.

Having eclipsed that line in five straight games, Sutton only had four receptions for 40 yards in last week’s win over the Chiefs, but he was targeted 10 times by Bo Nix, marking the fourth straight game in which he has garnered double-digit targets.

The veteran wideout has surpassed 1,000 yards in a season for the third time – helped by a season-high 118 yards against the Chargers in Week 3.

All odds correct at time of writing.

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All odds correct at time of writing

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